
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 United States presidential election and signs an official order or takes executive action to ban X by 11:59 PM ET on February 3 (within two weeks of her inauguration on January 20, 2025). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Kamala Harris loses the election this market will immediately resolve to "No." A ban is defined as an official action prohibiting the majority of Americans from downloading and/or using X. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:31:25 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.