Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$15.9M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCAug 22, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Aug 22, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is confirmed to have been replaced or withdraws as the nominee of the Democratic Party at the Democratic National Convention (DNC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Harris is confirmed to have been replaced or withdraws as the nominee before the DNC this market will also resolve to "Yes." If the DNC has concluded and Kamala Harris remains the nominee, this market will resolve to "No." If the DNC is cancelled or rescheduled to a date after November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic Party and footage from the DNC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.