
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins every Sun Belt swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "Sun Belt swing states": Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:10:09 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.