
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBulletin Board Update (12 PM ET): As of Jan 31, 12 PM ET, Binance is the most liquid price source for JUP, and thus will be used as the resolution source for this market. Specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 1 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is below $0.4000 (i.e. $0.3999 or less) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token airdrop is estimated to happen at 10am EST on January, 31st, 2024. If JUP doesn't airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$0.40). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of highly liquid price sources.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBulletin Board Update (12 PM ET): As of Jan 31, 12 PM ET, Binance is the most liquid price source for JUP, and thus will be used as the resolution source for this market. Specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 1 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is between $0.4000 (inclusive) and $0.7000 (exclusive) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token airdrop is estimated to happen at 10am EST on January, 31st, 2024. If JUP doesn't airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$0.40). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of highly liquid price sources.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBulletin Board Update (12 PM ET): As of Jan 31, 12 PM ET, Binance is the most liquid price source for JUP, and thus will be used as the resolution source for this market. Specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 1 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is between $0.7000 (inclusive) and $1.0000 (inclusive) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token airdrop is estimated to happen at 10am EST on January, 31st, 2024. If JUP doesn't airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$0.40). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of highly liquid price sources.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBulletin Board Update (12 PM ET): As of Jan 31, 12 PM ET, Binance is the most liquid price source for JUP, and thus will be used as the resolution source for this market. Specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 1 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is above $1.0000 (i.e. $1.0001 or more) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token airdrop is estimated to happen at 10am EST on January, 31st, 2024. If JUP doesn't airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$0.40). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of highly liquid price sources.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:40:35 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.