Loading your workspace…
All markets
Judge launches investigation into facebook comment?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$14.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 14, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Judge launches investigation into facebook comment?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 14, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On June 7 it was reported a person posted the comment “My cousin is a juror and says Trump is getting convicted” a day before the conviction (see https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/judge-trumps-hush-money-case-raises-questions-social-media-post-appear-rcna156128). This market will resolve to "Yes" if a formal investigation into the posted Facebook comment is announced by June 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The formal investigation must be from the the Judge or his office/representatives. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.