
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:16:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.