Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

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24h volume$115.2

Total volume$3.3K

Liquidity$1.5K

Event end date · UTCOct 13, 2026

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Accepting ordersMarket odds92.5%

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes92.5%Polymarket estimate

No7.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $1.5K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 13, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 92.0¢ / 93.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

As of market creation, JPMorgan Chase is estimated to release earnings on October 13, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for JPMorgan Chase's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $5.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JPMorgan Chase reports GAAP EPS greater than $5.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If JPMorgan Chase releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.