Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$1.2K

Liquidity$10.6K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?Accepting ordersMarket odds3.2%

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

Yes3.2%Polymarket estimate

No96.8%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $10.6K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 2.0¢ / 4.4¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.