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Istanbul Mayoral Election 2024: Which party will win?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$55.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
CHPClosedMarket odds100%
Istanbul Mayoral Election 2024: Will CHP win?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from the Republican People's Party (CHP, Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi) wins the 2024 Istanbul mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.