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Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
24h volume$5
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$40.6K
Event end date · UTCSep 1, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
8 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
June 15Closed0%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 15?
Yes0%
No100%
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 16, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.