Israel x Syria security deal before September?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$274.4K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 1, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Israel x Syria security deal before September?ClosedMarket odds0%

Israel x Syria security deal before September?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 1, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying agreements must directly address border security and demarcation, military de-escalation, airstrike cessation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition. Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, if no such statements are made, the market may resolve based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a formal agreement has been reached.