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Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
Foretrace AI research
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Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Choose a market to analyze 6 eligible questions · Evidence required
24h volume$119.8
Total volume$11.9K
Liquidity$45.7K
Event end date · UTCOct 27, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<20Accepting ordersMarket odds16.5%
Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Yes16.5%Polymarket estimate
No83.6%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $641
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 27, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 8.1¢ / 24.8¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
This market has limited available liquidity.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).