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Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
Foretrace AI research
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Choose a market to analyze 5 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$326
Total volume$6.4K
Liquidity$44.6K
Event end date · UTCOct 27, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<4Accepting ordersMarket odds2%
Will Otzma win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Yes2%Polymarket estimate
No98.1%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $20.3K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 30, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.0¢ / 2.9¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).