
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:34:30 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.