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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
24h volume$220.9
Total volume$240.5K
Liquidity$28.6K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting orders5%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes5%
No95%
- Liquidity
- $28.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 4.0¢ / 6.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Within research coverage.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 4:00:41 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.