
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn February 24, an X account claiming to be a pardoned Sam Bankman-Fried began posting. You can see those posts here: https://x.com/sbf_doge/status/1894225814520029553 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is proven the @SBF_DOGE X account is owned or operated by or under the direction of SBF. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this is not proven by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:19:13 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.