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Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$61.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 1, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
NDA LossClosedMarket odds0%
Will the NDA lose?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 1, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) does not recieve the most votes of any party in the 2024 Indian General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Indian General Election takes place, this market will resolve to "Yes". Political alliances such as I.N.D.I.A will be considered parties for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of India, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.