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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if India officially declares war against Pakistan, or Pakistan officially declares war against India between May 9 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that resemble or imply a declaration of war, but stop short of being formal declarations, will not count. For example, statements such as Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee referring to the Kargil conflict as “a war-like situation” in July 1999, or similar statements that do not constitute official declarations of war and will not qualify. Only India and Pakistan themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if a Pakistani militant group declared war against India it will not count for this market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:44:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.