
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) controls 272 or more seats in the Lok Sabha after the results of the 2024 Indian General Election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the BJP, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:39:46 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.