
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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How research worksThe National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is the BJP's electoral coalition. Figures within the BJP, including Narendra Modi, claimed that the BJP-led NDA will win 400 seats or more in the Lok Sabha from the 2024 Indian general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls 400 or more seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:24:50 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.