
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThe 2024 Indian general election is scheduled to take place between April and May 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Narendra Modi is the next prime minister of India following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of India is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of India, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 6:50:04 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.