ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$51.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the leaders of Hamas. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" . If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Netanyahu, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.