
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is not sentenced to spend any time in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend between 0 days (exclusive) and 5 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend between 6 months (inclusive) and 11 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend between 1 year (inclusive) and 3 years (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend between 4 years (inclusive) and 10 years (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend over 10 years in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:30:09 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.