Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

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Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required

24h volume$5

Total volume$7.3K

Liquidity$11.4K

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds7.2%

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Yes7.2%Polymarket estimate

No92.8%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11.4K
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 7.0¢ / 7.4¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.