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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Foretrace AI research
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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volume$8.9
Total volume$20.9K
Liquidity$929.7
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds15%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Yes15%Polymarket estimate
No85%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $929.7
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 12.0¢ / 18.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.