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How much Gold is there in Fort Knox?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$5.1M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
>147.3418580m Troy OuncesClosedMarket odds100%
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
According to the U.S. Government, as of February 28, 2021, Fort Knox held 147,341,858.38 Troy Ounces of Gold (see: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/gold-report/21-02.html) This market will resolve according to the amount of gold (millions of troy ounces) held in Fort Knox according to the next published audit/report by the U.S. Government. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If an audit is conducted, and it is reported that no gold is missing, with no reporting of the actual amount of gold by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to the "147.3418580m t oz" bracket. If the results of a new audit are not published between February 18, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Data Reported in 2025". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, including the Department of Government Efficiency.