
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is less than 1,200 words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,200 (inclusive) and 1,400 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,400 (inclusive) and 1,600 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,600 (inclusive) and 1,800 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,800 (inclusive) and 2,000 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 2,000 (inclusive) and 2,200 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 2,200 (inclusive) and 2,400 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is 2,400 or more words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:51:18 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.