Loading your workspace…
All markets
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 6 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$285.3
Total volume$285.3
Liquidity$1.8K
Event end date · UTCOct 6, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<6MAccepting ordersMarket odds4%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have less than 6 million views this week?
Yes4%Polymarket estimate
No96%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $169.4
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 6, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.0¢ / 7.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Get the Foretrace AI forecast
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Resolution rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.