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How many viewers will Trump's address to Congress get?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$389K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 4, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<34mClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump's 2025 joint address get <34m viewers?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 4, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Donald Trump's first address to a joint session of congress for his second term is scheduled for March 4, 2025, 9 PM ET. You can read more about it here: https://www.npr.org/2025/03/03/nx-s1-5313468/trump-joint-session-of-congress This market will resolve according to the number of viewers Nielsen reports this joint session of Congress as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If the speech takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the speech within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.