
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry less than 500 strokes to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 500 strokes (inclusive) and 999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 1000 strokes (inclusive) and 1499 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 1500 strokes (inclusive) and 1999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 2000 strokes (inclusive) and 2999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 3000 strokes (inclusive) and 3999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 4000 strokes (inclusive) and 4999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksJersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:53:07 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.