Loading your workspace…
All markets
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
24h volume$154.4
Total volume$1.1K
Liquidity$1.2K
Event end date · UTCNov 1, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<14Accepting orders84.5%
Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?
Yes84.5%
No15.5%
- Liquidity
- $137.7
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 1, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 74.0¢ / 95.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution sourceInitial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.