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How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
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24h volume$36.4
Total volume$699.3K
Liquidity$88.7K
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026
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Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<22Accepting ordersMarket odds25.5%
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes25.5%Polymarket estimate
No74.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $15.3K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 4, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 24.0¢ / 27.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.