Loading your workspace…
All markets
How many reposts will MrBeast's $250k giveaway get?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$294.5K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 25, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<1.5mClosedMarket odds0%
Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be reposted <1.5m times?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $14.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 23, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Bulletin Board Update (6:25 PM ET): The number that shows next to the repost icon on desktop when viewing the tweet will be used for this market’s resolution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast's $250k giveaway post/tweet (https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1749500209061663043) displays less than 1.5 million reposts/tweets 72 hours after the time it was posted (January 25, 2024, 1:32 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the repost count exceeds this bracket at any point, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be this MrBeast post: https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1749500209061663043. If the specified post is permanently deleted or the MrBeast account is banned at the time of this market's expiry date, this market will resolve to the bracket for the number reposts at the time it became unavailable. Because posts only display accuracy up to one decimal point when in the millions, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.