
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has less than 26,000,000 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 26,000,000 (inclusive) and 29,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 29,000,000 (inclusive) and 32,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 32,000,000 (inclusive) and 35,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 35,000,000 (inclusive) and 38,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 38,000,000 (inclusive) and 41,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 41,000,000 (inclusive) and 44,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has 44,000,000 or more viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:50:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.