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How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$5.2M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 1, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<16ClosedMarket odds0%
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 1, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.2¢ / 0.6¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/number-of-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name fewer than 16 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names fewer than 16 storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 16 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.