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How many jobs added in October?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$1.3K
Total volume$1.3K
Liquidity$2.6K
Event end date · UTCNov 7, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<-25kAccepting ordersMarket odds17.1%
Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?
Yes17.1%Polymarket estimate
No83%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $350.9
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 7, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.7¢ / 33.4¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
This market has limited available liquidity.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm