
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs less than 10 executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 10 (inclusive) and 14 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 15 (inclusive) and 19 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 20 (inclusive) and 24 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 25 (inclusive) and 29 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 30 (inclusive) and 34 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 35 (inclusive) and 39 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs 40 or more executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:12:24 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.