
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIn January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIn January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIn January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIn January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIn January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:25:56 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.