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How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
24h volume$3.2K
Total volume$6.6K
Liquidity$4.3K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
9 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Below 4.70%Accepting orders68.5%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?
Yes68.5%
No31.5%
- Liquidity
- $596.2
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 65.0¢ / 72.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).