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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$700.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
No HandshakeClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on Thursday, October 30, 2025, KST. Any handshake recorded during that date (KST) will qualify. If no handshake occurs on October 30, 2025 (KST), or no meeting takes place by October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM KST, this market will resolve to “No Handshake.” Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without measurable duration. The primary resolution source will be publicly available video footage from credible media outlets or official recordings.