House control after 2024 election?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$8M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

House control after 2024 election?

Democratic0%Polymarket estimate

Republican100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Democratic bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested. This market will resolve to "Democratic" if following the 2024 U.S. House elections, the majority of voting House members are Democrats. It will resolve to "Republican" under the same conditions for Republicans. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the US House is selected following the 2024 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with / intends to caucus with at the time of their election to that position. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2024 US House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2024 election results.