
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Avatar: Fire and Ash'(Avatar 3) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Superman' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Captain America: New World Order' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Zootopia 2' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Thunderbolts' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Lilo & Stitch' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie B' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie B with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie C' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie C with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie D' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie D with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie E' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie E with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie E' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie F with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie G' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie G with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie H' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie H with one of the potential candidates. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows a film other than any of the named films as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie I' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie I with another potential candidate. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie J' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie J with another potential candidate. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Movie K' as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may be updated in the future to replace Movie K with another potential candidate. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:17:35 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.