
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:13:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.