Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$6.2M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Democratic ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolved based on the official Democratic nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that Harris-Walz being on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the democratic nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Democratic party (e.g. https://www.democrats.org, etc.).