Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volume$0

Total volume$731.3K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Jan 31, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip for any length of time between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM GMT+2. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with majority of control of the Gaza Strip will be considered the primary governing authority. If at any point within the time window of this market Hamas is not recognized as the primary governing authority of the Gaza Strip, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes". This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.