
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:36:15 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.