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Grokipedia released by...?
Foretrace AI research
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.4M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
December 31ClosedMarket odds100%
Grokipedia released by December 31?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI’s Grokipedia is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If xAI releases a product that is not explicitly named “Grokipedia” but is clearly described and recognized in official announcements as an AI-powered knowledge base or encyclopedia-style product, this market will also resolve to "Yes." If Grokipedia is released as an embedded feature inside Grok or other xAI products, it will still qualify. For this market, an announcement alone will not suffice. Grokipedia must actually be released and publicly accessible by the deadline. Once Grokipedia is released in a qualifying manner, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grokipedia must be launched and made publicly accessible in at least one region. Access may be free or paid, as long as it is available to any member of the public. Open beta or rolling waitlists qualify, but closed betas, private testers, enterprise-only releases, or invite-only cohorts do not. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.