Greta Thunberg released from custody by Friday?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$55.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 13, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Greta Thunberg released from custody by Friday?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 13, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Greta Thunberg was detained by the Israel Defense Forces on June 9, 2025, after the aid boat Madleen, on which she was traveling to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza, was intercepted and diverted to Ashdod port (see: https://www.foxnews.com/world/idf-detains-gaza-bound-vessel-carrying-greta-thunberg-the-show-over). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is released from custody by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Thunberg is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Thunberg is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Thunberg to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.