Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required

24h volume$20.3

Total volume$7.6K

Liquidity$11K

Event end date · UTCNov 1, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds4.8%

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Yes4.8%Polymarket estimate

No95.2%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 1, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 4.0¢ / 5.6¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner or his spouse announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. Announcements of separations will not alone qualify. If Graham Platner or his spouse officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be statements from Graham Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.