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Germany EU Election
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$105.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 9, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
CDU/CSU >30%ClosedMarket odds100%
Will the CDU/CSU receive more than 30% of votes?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 9, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 European Parliament election in Germany is scheduled to be held on June 9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (Christian Democratic Union and Christian Social Union) combined receive over 30% of votes cast in the 2024 European Parliament election in Germany. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.